Markets Overview – August 20, 2025

  • Major Indices Fell :

    S&P 500 (SPX): -0.24%

    Dow Jones (DJI): +0.04%

    Russell 2000 (RUT): -0.32%

  • The S&P 500 dropped 0.24%, marking its fourth consecutive day of losses, driven by a continued tech stock sell-off. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7%, while the Dow Jones rose slightly.

  • Investors are focused on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium speech for clues on potential interest rate cuts, expected to begin next month.

  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have faced recent declines, partly due to a tech sector sell-off, with concerns about high valuations in AI-related stocks like Nvidia and Meta. Walmart’s upcoming earnings are anticipated to reflect consumer spending trends, while recent retail reports from Target and TJX showed mixed results.

Key Movers

  • Major tech stocks like Apple, Amazon, and Intel declined, with Intel dropping 7% after recent gains.

  • Retailers like Target fell 6% despite strong earnings, due to a CEO change, while TJX and Lowe’s gained after positive results.

  • Bitcoin rose to $114,300, and oil and gold prices increased. Analysts remain optimistic about tech’s long-term prospects, particularly in AI.

Today’s Economic Calendar — Thursday, August 21

  • 8:30 am- Initial jobless claims for August 16 (225,000 median forecast vs 224,000 previous) and Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey for Aug.

  • 9:45 am- S&P flash U.S. services & U.S. manufacturing PMI for Aug.

  • 10:00 am- Existing home sales and U.S. leading economic indicators for July.

Technical Setups- Indices & ETFs

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

  • The index ended flat with +0.04% to close at 44,938.31.

  • Resistance for the day: 45,015.64, with potential downside levels at 44,841.51 and 44,755.82.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

  • The index closed at 23,249.57, with resistance for the day at 23,300.59 and potential downside levels at 23,200 and 23,099.70.

S&P 500 (SPX)

  • The index closed at 6,395.78, with resistance at 6,410 and potential downside levels at 6,390.62 and 6,371.63.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • The price was trading at $636.73 pre-market, with resistance at $638.61 and potential downside levels at $635.85 and $635.15.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(QQQ)

  • The price was trading at $565.26 pre-market, with resistance at $566.07 and potential downside levels at $563.89 and $562.79.

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

  • The price was trading at $224.26 pre-market, with resistance at $225.58 and potential downside levels at $223.75 and $221.79.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

  • The price was trading at $289.18 pre-market, with support at $288.42 and potential upside levels at $291.08 and $292.08.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL)

  • The price was trading at $25.62 pre-market, with support at $25.44 and potential upside levels at $25.82 and $26.02.

Earnings Snapshot: Reporting Today (Before Open)

Walmart Inc (WMT)

  • Walmart is set to release its Q2 2025 earnings, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.74 per share (up 10.45% year-over-year) and revenue of $174.38 billion (up 3.94%). The stock has risen 13.53% year-to-date, outperforming consumer staples peers, driven by strong e-commerce and technology investments, including a $2.3 billion acquisition of Vizio to boost its advertising business.

  • Walmart plans to open 150 new stores, emphasizing brick-and-mortar retail. However, challenges include a 10% profit drop in Walmart Mexico and Central America due to tech and labor costs, and potential risks from inflation impacting low-price strategies and e-commerce growth sustainability.

  • The stock was trading at $101.11 pre-market, with support at $100.05 and potential upside levels at $101.59,$102.11, and $102.79.

Earnings Snapshot: Reporting Today (After Close)

Intuit Inc (INTU)

  • Intuit Inc. (INTU) is poised to report its Q4 2025 earnings on August 21, 2025, with management forecasting revenues of $3.72-$3.76 billion (17-18% growth) and adjusted EPS of $2.63-$2.68 (33.2% growth).

  • The company’s growth is fueled by AI integration across TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma, with subscription services (77% of revenue) driving predictable income and strong cross-selling synergies, notably a 28% revenue surge expected for Credit Karma.

  • The stock was trading at $700.65 pre-market, with support at $696.22 and potential upside levels at $703.45 and $707.03.

Workday Inc (WDAY)

  • Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY) is set to report its Q2 2025 earnings on August 21, 2025, with consensus estimates projecting earnings per share of $2.11 and revenues of $2.34 billion, compared to $1.75 and $2.08 billion in the same quarter last year.

  • Workday’s market cap is $60.65 billion, with trailing 12-month revenue of $8.7 billion, operating profit of $640 million, and net income of $487 million.

  • The stock was trading at $228.25 pre-market, with support at $226.52 and potential upside levels at $228.93 and $230.08.

Ross Stores Inc (ROST)

  • Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST) is set to report its Q2 2025 earnings on August 21, 2025, after the market closes, with analysts forecasting revenue of $5.54 billion, a 4.8% year-on-year increase, slower than the 7.1% growth in Q2 2024, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.54.

  • The company beat revenue expectations by 0.5% last quarter with $4.98 billion, but issued weaker-than-expected guidance for Q2.

  • The stock was trading at $146.49 pre-market, with resistance at $147.70 and potential downside levels at $145.73 and $145.15.

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