Markets Overview – August 28, 2025

  • Major Indices Surged :

    S&P 500 (SPX): +0.32% to 6,501.85

    Dow Jones (DJI): +0.16% to 45,636.90

    Russell 2000 (RUT): +0.19% to 2,378.41

  • S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average hit record highs, up 0.3% and 0.2% respectively, while Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5%, nearing its own record; all indexes on track for fourth consecutive month of gains.

  • Nvidia shares fell nearly 1% despite beating revenue and profit estimates, as high investor expectations and slightly underwhelming data center revenue weighed on the stock.

  • Weekly jobless claims met expectations, and Q2 GDP growth was revised upward; markets await the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation report on August 29, 2025, amid rate cut speculation.

  • Bitcoin at $112,000, up from $110,900; U.S. dollar index down 0.4% to 97.88; 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.21%; WTI crude oil futures gained 0.3% to $64.30/barrel; gold futures rose 0.8% to $3,475/ounce.

Key Movers: Winners and Losers

  • Broadcom gained 3%, Alphabet 2%, Apple and Amazon 1% each, while Tesla dropped 1% after weak EU sales; Datadog surged 7% as the top S&P 500 performer.

  • Snowflake jumped 20% after strong results and raised guidance; CrowdStrike and HP Inc. up 4.5% each; Hormel Foods fell 13% on weak profit outlook; Cooper Companies and Brown-Forman down nearly 13% and 4.9% respectively.

Today’s Economic Calendar — Friday, August 29

  • 8:30 am- Personal income & Personal spending (July).

  • 8:30 am- PCE index & Core PCE index (July & YoY).

  • 8:30 am- Advanced U.S. trade balance in goods (July), and Advanced retail & wholesale inventories (July).

  • 9:45 am- Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (Aug).

  • 10:00 am- Consumer sentiment (final) (Aug).

Technical Setups- Indices & ETFs

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

  • The Dow gained 0.16%, closing at 45,636.90. Key support sits at 45,525-45,500; holding above could spark a rebound toward 45,665.91 and 45,762.77.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

  • The index ended at 23,703.45. Key support lies at 23,595.38; holding above this level could open upside toward 23,748.55 and 23,842.95.

S&P 500 (SPX)

  • Closing at 6,501.86, the S&P is trading above support at 6,487. If buyers hold this level, potential upside targets are 6,508 and 6,525.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • SPY was trading at $647.40 pre-market, with support at $646.12 and potential upside targets at $648.97 and $649.84.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(QQQ)

  • QQQ was trading at $574.48 pre-market, with key support at $573.47. Holding above this level keeps upside targets in play at $575.20 and $577.07.

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

  • IWM was trading at $235.84 pre-market. Support is nearby at $234.87, while the potential upside levels stand at $236.30 and $237.15.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

  • SMH traded at $295.81 pre-market. Support lies at $295; a bounce could test $296.73 and $298.25.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL)

  • SOXL was at $27.43 pre-market. Support at $27.13 must hold to fuel a move towards $27.76 and $27.98.

Earnings Snapshot: Reported Yesterday (After Close)

Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL)

  • Financial Performance and Investor Sentiment - Marvell’s Q2 2026 revenue hit $2.006B, up 58%, but the stock dropped 12% due to concerns over flat Q3 data center revenue.

  • AI Strategy- Divested Automotive Ethernet for $2.5B, investing 30.48% of 2025 revenue in AI R&D, securing $10–$12B hyperscaler deals.

  • Competitive Challenges- Faces Broadcom in the $55B AI chip market, aiming for a 20% share by 2028, but scaling custom silicon is capital-intensive.

  • Supply Chain Risks- DDR4 shortages, copper volatility, and TSMC reliance expose Marvell to disruptions; 2025 price hike may strain hyperscaler ties.

  • Investment Outlook- 79% FY2026 earnings growth projected, but supply chain and geopolitical risks challenge long-term gains in the AI market.

  • MRVL was trading at $65.90 during pre-market. The stock has immediate resistance at $66.25, with potential for a downside towards $65.11 and $64.73.

Earnings Snapshot: Reporting Today (Before Open)

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)

  • Financial Performance- Q1 2026 revenue increased 2% to 247.65 billion yuan ($34.6B), below the 252.9 billion yuan estimate; net income of 43.11 billion yuan exceeded the 28.5 billion yuan forecast.

  • Cloud Division Growth- Cloud revenue grew 26% to 33.4 billion yuan, up from 18% in the prior quarter, fueled by AI monetization efforts.

  • E-Commerce and Market Context- Core China e-commerce revenue improved, driving a 40%+ stock rise in 2025 despite a slowing Chinese economy in July.

  • AI Investments- Q1 2026 aggressive launches of AI models and cloud-based AI services bolster Alibaba’s position as a global AI leader.

  • BABA was trading at $123.35 pre-market. Support at $122.31 must hold to fuel a move towards $123.82 and $124.59.

Frontline Plc (FRO)

  • Financial Performance- Q2 2025 profit was $77.9 million, with a net income of 35 cents per share; adjusted earnings were 36 cents per share.

  • Revenue- Q2 2025 revenue reached $479.9 million, with adjusted revenue of $285.3 million.

  • FRO was trading at $20.70 during pre-market. The stock has immediate support at $20.43, with potential for a rebound to $20.785 and $20.95.

BRP Inc (DOOO)

  • Financial Performance- Q2 2025 revenue rose 4.3% to C$1.89 billion, with adjusted EPS of C$0.92, nearly doubling analyst expectations; normalized EBITDA fell 9.2% due to higher operating costs.

  • Product Segment Performance- Year-round products (e.g., off-road vehicles) grew 13.1% in revenue, driven by strong demand and pricing; parts and OEM engines up 7.2%; seasonal products (e.g., personal watercraft) dropped 13.3%.

  • Future Outlook- Raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to C$8.15-8.3 billion and EPS to C$4.25-4.75, supported by C$420 million in production and capital spending.

  • Broader Implications- Strong demand for year-round recreation products offsets seasonal weaknesses, positioning BRP well in the evolving outdoor market if trends persist.

  • DOOO was trading at $61.75 during pre-market. The stock has immediate support at $61.15, with potential for a rebound to $63.07 and $63.44.

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