Markets Overview – August 13, 2025

  • Major Indices Surged :

    S&P 500 (SPX): +0.32%

    Dow Jones (DJI): +1.04%

    Russell 2000 (RUT): +1.98%

  • On August 13, 2025, major U.S. stock indexes sustained their upward trend, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieving new record highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1%, narrowly missing its first record close since December.

  • The S&P 500 gained 0.3%, the Nasdaq Composite added 0.14%, and the Russell 2000 surged 2% to its yearly peak. The rally was supported by stable July inflation data, boosting expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. However, mega-cap tech stocks like Microsoft, Meta, and Nvidia declined, while Apple and Amazon gained.

  • On August 14, 2025, U.S. stock futures were nearly flat as investors awaited key economic data, including July's producer price index and weekly jobless claims.

    Key Movers

  • Notable movers included Paramount Skydance, which soared 37% and was labeled a meme stock, and CAVA Group and CoreWeave, which fell 17% and 21% respectively, after weak earnings.

  • The U.S. dollar index dropped to a two-week low, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.24%, and oil prices continued a two-week slide. The International Energy Agency raised its global oil supply forecasts but noted weaker demand. Nuclear energy stocks were highlighted as a growing investment theme, with Talen Energy, Public Service Enterprise Group, and Vistra recommended by Morgan Stanley. Bullish, a crypto exchange, debuted with over 140% gain, reflecting strong IPO performance in 2025.

Today’s Economic Calendar — Thursday, August 14

  • 8:30 am- Initial jobless claims for August 9 (229,000 median forecast vs 226,000 previous).

  • 8:30 am- Producer Price Index (PPI) for July & YoY.

  • 8:30 am- Core PPI for July & YoY.

Technical Setups- Indices & ETFs

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

  • The index gained +1.04% to close at 44,922.27.

  • Support for the day: 44,841.51, with potential upside levels at 44,950 and 45,015.64.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

  • The index closed at 23,849.04, with support for the day at 23,800.38 and potential upside levels at 23,922.48 and 23,969.28.

S&P 500 (SPX)

  • The index closed at 6,466.58, with support at 6,456.11 and potential upside level at 6,480.99.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • The price was trading at $644.52 pre-market, with support at $644.09 and potential upside levels at $645.62 and $646.24.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(QQQ)

  • The price was trading at $580.25 pre-market, with support at $579.25 and potential upside levels at $580.64 and $581.89.

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

  • The price was trading at $230.79 pre-market, with support at $230.10 and potential upside levels at $232.58 and $234.82.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

  • The price was trading at $300.60 pre-market, with support at $300.09 and potential upside levels at $301 and $301.72.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL)

  • The price closed at $29.27, with support at $29.03 and potential upside levels at $29.41 and $29.63.

Earnings Snapshot: Reported Today (Before Open)

JD.Com Inc (JD)

  • On August 14, 2025, JD.com, a leading Chinese e-commerce company, reported a 22.4% increase in quarterly revenue to 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion), surpassing analysts' expectations of 331.63 billion yuan.

  • The growth was driven by strong consumer spending, boosted by price cuts, promotions, and government subsidies, particularly during the record-breaking 618 shopping festival, which saw a 15.2% rise in gross merchandise value to 855.6 billion yuan. Despite the revenue beat, net income fell to 6.2 billion yuan from 12.6 billion yuan a year earlier.

  • The stock was trading at $32.70 pre-market, with support at $32.53 and potential upside levels at $32.83 and $33.056.

Deere & Co (DE)

  • Deere & Company reported a 9% decline in Q3 2025 net sales to $12.02 billion and a 26% drop in net income to $1.29 billion, with EPS falling 24% to $4.75 from $6.29 year-over-year.

  • The Production and Precision Agriculture segment saw the steepest decline, with net sales down 16% and operating profit halved to $580 million. Small Agriculture and Turf sales fell 1%, with operating profit down 2% to $485 million, while Construction and Forestry sales dropped 5%, with operating profit down 47% to $237 million. Financial Services’ net income rose 34% to $205 million.

  • Deere anticipates a tough market, projecting a 30% sales decline for Large Ag equipment in the U.S. and Canada, with full-year net income guidance unchanged at $4.75–$5.25 billion. The company maintains its focus on inventory management, cost control, and precision agriculture investments.

  • The stock was trading at $483.24 pre-market, with support at $476.94 and potential upside levels at $488.44 and $492.50.

Amcor PLC (AMCR)

  • Amcor (NYSE: AMCR) reported Q4 fiscal 2025 net sales of $5.08 billion, up 43% excluding currency effects, driven by the April 30, 2025, all-stock acquisition of Berry Global.

  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 43% to $789 million, but GAAP net income was a $39 million loss due to acquisition costs. Full-year 2025 net sales increased 11% to $15.01 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up 13% to $2.19 billion and adjusted EPS up 3% to 71.2 cents.

  • The company identified a $20 billion core consumer packaging portfolio and plans to divest $2.5 billion in non-core assets, including North America Beverage. For fiscal 2026, Amcor forecasts adjusted EPS of 80-83 cents (12-17% growth) and free cash flow of $1.8-1.9 billion, with $650 million in synergies expected by 2028 from the Berry integration. The board declared a quarterly dividend of 12.75 cents per share, raising the annual dividend to 51 cents.

  • The stock was trading at $9.67 pre-market, with support at $9.625 and potential upside levels at $9.735 and $9.77.

Earnings Snapshot: Reporting Today (After Close)

Applied Materials Inc (AMAT)

  • Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is set to report Q3 2025 earnings, with analysts expecting an EPS of $2.36, up from $2.12 last year, and revenue of $7.21 billion, a 6.42% increase from $6.78 billion.

  • Despite a 50% stock rally since April, AMAT is down 5.4% over the past year due to volatility and U.S. export restrictions impacting its China market, which dropped from 43% to 25% of sales. Q2 2025 showed strong performance with $7.1 billion in revenue (up 7%) and record GAAP EPS of $2.63. However, concerns linger about potential overhyping of AI chip demand, possible inventory corrections, and further U.S.-China trade tensions affecting growth. Management’s commentary on product demand and market adaptability will be key.

  • The stock was trading at $190.20 pre-market, with support at $189.25 and potential upside levels at $190.57 and $192.05.

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