Markets Overview – September 25, 2025

  • Major Indices Closed Lower :

    S&P 500 (SPX): -0.50% to 6,604.73

    Dow Jones (DJI): -0.38% to 45,947.32

    Russell 2000 (RUT): -0.98% to 2,411.04

  • U.S. stock indexes declined for the third straight day on September 25, 2025, with the Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.5%, 0.5%, and 0.4%, respectively, ahead of Friday’s PCE inflation data.

  • Bitcoin dropped 3.5% to below $110,000, impacting stocks like MARA Holdings (-9%) and MicroStrategy (-7%). West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose to $65.15 per barrel, gold futures gained 0.3% to $3,780, and the U.S. dollar index increased 0.7% to 98.52.

  • U.S. growth came in stronger than expected, with Q2 GDP revised to 3.8% from 3.3% as consumer spending rose 2.5%. Jobless claims eased to 218,000, durable goods orders rebounded, and housing data was mixed—flat existing sales but a 20% jump in new homes. The 10-year yield climbed to 4.18%. Markets now await the PCE report, forecast to show 2.7% inflation and a steady 2.9% core rate, which could guide the Fed’s October rate decision.

  • President Trump is set to sign an order placing TikTok’s U.S. operations under American control, involving Oracle and others, with ByteDance leasing the algorithm. Kodiak AI shares fell 16% in their trading debut (symbol: KDK). Former Fed chairs urged the Supreme Court to block Trump’s attempt to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook to preserve central bank independence.

  • Chinese stocks rose, with the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 up 18-20% YTD, driven by AI and trade talk optimism. U.S. investigations into robotics, machinery, and medical device imports may lead to tariffs, targeting foreign supply chains like China’s PPE.

Key Movers: Winners and Losers

  • In the S&P 500, Intel surged 8.9% on reports of Apple investment talks (Apple +1.8%), IBM gained 5.2% after a quantum computing trial with HSBC, and Lithium Americas rose 22.6% following government stake rumors, with Albemarle up 4%.

  • CarMax plummeted 20% after missing Q2 earnings, Oracle fell 5.6% after a "sell" rating, Jabil dropped 6.7% despite beating forecasts, Tesla declined 4.4%, Micron fell 3%, and Amazon slipped 1% after a $2.5B FTC settlement.

  • Opendoor jumped 10.5% after Jane Street disclosed a 5.9% stake, with shares up 468% YTD. Starbucks slipped 0.5%, announcing store closures and 900 layoffs.

Today’s Economic Calendar — Friday, September 26

  • 8:30 am- Personal income & Personal spending (Aug).

  • 8:30 am- PCE index (Aug & YoY) and Core PCE index (Aug & YoY).

  • 10:00 am- Consumer sentiment (final) (Sept).

Technical Setups- Indices & ETFs

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)

  • The Dow declined -0.38%, closing at 45,947.32. Key support sits at 45,800.89; holding above could spark a rebound toward 46,108.47 and 46,181.41.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

  • The index ended at 24,397.31. Key support lies at 24,282.62; holding above this level could open upside toward 24,441.84 and 24,533.57.

S&P 500 (SPX)

  • Closing at 6,604.72, the S&P is trading above support at 6,581.62. If buyers hold this level, the potential upside targets are 6,618.60 and 6,639.54.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

  • SPY was trading at $658.14 pre-market, with support at $655.64 and potential upside targets at $659.22 and $660.97.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(QQQ)

  • QQQ was trading at $593.15 pre-market, with key support at $592.16. Holding above this level keeps upside targets in play at $594.67 and $596.05.

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

  • IWM was trading at $238.96 pre-market. Support is nearby at $238.07, while the potential upside levels stand at $239.38 and $240.93.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

  • SMH traded at $318.79 pre-market. Support lies at $316.29; a bounce could test $321.11 and $322.73.

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL)

  • SOXL was at $33.52 pre-market. Support at $33.12 must hold to fuel a move towards $33.92 and $34.28.

Earnings Snapshot: Reported Yesterday (After Close)

Concentrix Corp (CNXC)

  • Company Overview- Tech-enabled customer engagement firm in five verticals, mainly tech/electronics; $3.47B market cap.

  • Revenue- $2.48B, up 4% YoY as reported, 2.6% constant currency.

  • EPS- Non-GAAP $2.78, $0.02 below guidance; GAAP $1.34.

  • Net Income- GAAP $88M for the quarter.

  • Margins- Adjusted EBITDA 14.5%, below plan due to excess capacity.

  • Q4 Guidance- Revenue $2.525B-$2.550B.

  • Strategic Focus- Gaining share via AI/CX/IT integration; strong iX suite demand.

  • CNXC was trading at $43.50 pre-market. Support is at $42.75, while the potential upside levels stand at $44 and $44.50.

LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH)

  • EPS and Revenue- Adjusted loss of $0.16 per share, worse than last year's -$0.06 and analysts' -$0.04 expectation. Q4 revenue rose 41.4% YoY to $12.21M, slightly above $12.20M forecast. Net Income was at a quarterly loss of $7.06M.

  • LPTH was trading at $6.15 pre-market. Support is at $6.01, while the potential upside levels stand at $6.24 and $6.34.

Earnings Snapshot: Reporting Today (Before Open)

KNOT Offshore Partners LP (KNOP)

  • Quarterly Results- KNOT Offshore Partners reported Q2 EPS of $0.20, beating estimates by $0.03, and quarterly revenue hit $87.06M, exceeding forecasts of $81.16M.

  • KNOP was trading at $9.51 pre-market. Support is at $9.298, while the potential upside levels stand at $9.60 and $9.68.

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